December 6, 2019 0

Gutfeld on the analysis predicting Trump’s re-election victory


♪ ♪ GREAT NEWS FOR DEMOCRATS. ONE OF THE MOST ACCURATE PREDICTORS OF PRESIDENTIAL ELECTIONS INDICATES PRESIDENT TRUMP WILL EASILY WIN REELECTION. ACCORDING TO MOODY’S ANALYTICS, TRUMP SHOULD GET AT LEAST 289 ELECTORAL VOTES AND UP TO 351. ITS PROJECTIONS ARE BASED ON HOW VOTERS FEEL ABOUT THEIR FINANCES, PROSPECTS FOR EMPLOYMENT WHICH ARE AWESOME, AND STOCK MARKET GAINS WHICH ARE GREAT. WE KNEW THIS. PEOPLE VOTE WITH THEIR POCKETBOOKS AND TRUMP IS BACKING THEM UP. LEFTISTS WOULD CALL IT SHALLOW, SHORT SIGHTED SELF INTEREST. AS OF HAVING MORE MONEY TO SPEND ON FOOD AND CLOTHES FOR YOUR KIDS IS INSIDIOUSLY SELFISH. BUT IT’S THIS GREAT ECONOMY THAT EXPLAINS THE ORCHESTRATED DRAMA DRIVEN BY AN ANGRY MEDIA AND ITS PROTECTIVE CLASS, THE DEMOCRATS. THE BETTER THE COUNTRY DOES, THE CRAZIER THEY BECOME. TALK ABOUT CAUSE AND EFFECT. SO I SAID IT WAS GREAT NEWS FOR THE DEMOCRATS. WHY? NOW THEY CAN LEAD TO GO AND START PLANNING FOR 2024. YOU CAN STOP HAMMERING TRUMP’S AND INSTEAD FIND COHERENCE, HOPEFUL, POSITIVE SYSTEMS THAT TACKLE REAL PROBLEMS. NOW THAT TRUMP HAS THE BIG THINGS RUNNING FINE, HE CAN FOCUS ON OTHER STUFF THAT COULD HAVE LASTING BENEFITS TOO. A CLIMATE PLAN THAT PUTS NUCLEAR FRONT AND CENTER, STRATEGY THAT HELPS THE MENTALLY ILL OFF THE STREETS, AND A PLAN TO END RAMPANT HOMELESSNESS. FOR THESE THINGS TO HAPPEN COME HE’S GOING TO NEED HELP. WHAT ARE THE CHANCES THE DEMOCRATS MIGHT STOP CHASING FAKE PROBLEMS AND HELP SOLVE REAL ONES. WE CAN DREAM. MARTHA, I THINK THE THEORY FOR THIS IS THAT NO ONE TAKES RISKS ON AN ECONOMY THAT IS GOING SMOOTHLY. YOU DON’T DECIDE YOU’RE GOING TO PUT BURNING IN. IF THIS THING IS GOING GREAT.>>Martha: WHEN YOU LOOK HISTORICALLY, THERE HAVE ONLY BEEN TWO PRESIDENTS IN RECENT HISTORY WHO’VE BEEN ABLE TO UNSEAT A SITTING PRESIDENT AND WHO ARE THEY? TWO OF THE BIGGEST SUPERSTARS IN POLITICAL HISTORY. BILL CLINTON AND RONALD REAGAN. YOU LOOK AT THE STAGE AND ASK HIS OR SOMEBODY WHO HAS THAT KIND OF STAR POWER, THAT KIND OF VISION? BOTH OF THEM, WHAT THEY WON ON WAS A SUPER UPLIFTING NEW VISION FOR AMERICA. I THINK THAT’S ONE OF THE THINGS THAT’S REALLY MISSING FROM THESE DEMOCRATIC DEBATES, THAT SORT OF UPLIFTING IMAGE.>>Greg: MARIANNE WILLIAMSON.>>Martha: SHE IS ON MY SHOW TONIGHT.>>Greg: TELL HER HELLO. I THINK WE HAVE A SPECIAL CONNECTION. SHE IS ABOVE ALL OF IT. SHE IS LOOKING DOWN ON THEM. THOSE FOOLS. JESSE, I’M LOSING MY TRAIN OF THOUGHT.>>Jesse: THE GREEN ROOM.>>Greg: THE STRONGER THE ECONOMY GETS, THE MORE INTENSELY DEMOCRATS HATRED IS FOR TRIAL.>>Jesse: I HAVE A GREAT STATISTIC THAT I CAN’T WAIT TO SHARE WITH AMERICA. AVERAGE HOUSEHOLD INCOME FOR MIDDLE-CLASS FAMILIES, EIGHT YEARS UNDER PRESIDENT BUSH, WENT UP $400. EIGHT YEARS UNDER BARACK OBAMA WENT UP $1,000. INTEREST TWO AND A HALF YEARS UNDER PRESIDENT TRUMP, AVERAGE MIDDLE-CLASS FAMILY INCOME HAS GONE UP $5,000. TWO AND A HALF YEARS. WHEN YOU ADD THE TAX CUTS, IT IS $6,000. IT’S A $6,000 RAISE FOR AVERAGE FAMILIES. IN TWO AND HALF YEARS. THEY’VE NEVER SEEN THAT INCOME BOOST. MAYBE THE LAST 20. WHEN YOU ADD BACK TO THE FACT THAT YOU HAVE AN ECONOMY PRODUCING A LOT OF JOBS, LOW UNEMPLOYMENT, STOCK MARKET UP 34%, CRIME IS DOWN. HOUSEHOLD PRICES ARE UP. IT’S A BEAUTIFUL ECONOMY AND IT’S A MIDDLE-CLASS BOOM GOING ON AND THE ONLY THING THAT CAN REALLY SCREWED UP IS A MAJOR THING WITH CHINA OR MAYBE SELF-INFLICTED WOUND BY THE PRESIDENT.>>Martha: YOU ARE REALLY DEPRESSING JUAN.>>Juan: I JUST REALIZED, YOU ASK MOST AMERICANS, TALK ABOUT INCOME INEQUALITY, STRUGGLING TO MAKE IT. HERE’S THE THING, I HAPPEN TO AGREE WITH YOU THAT IF YOU LOOK AT THE ECONOMIC NUMBERS, THEY LOOK FINE. BUT HERE IS THE CURIOUS THING. MOODY’S ANALYSIS IS BASED ON THOSE ECONOMIC NUMBERS. BY THE WAY, THEY ALSO SAID HILLARY WAS GOING TO WIN. HERE’S THE THING. MOST AMERICANS CAN SEE THE ECONOMY DOING WHAT, IF YOU BELIEVE –>>Jesse: THE CENSUS BUREAU? C7 IF THE MIDDLE-CLASS FELT THE WAY YOU DID, WHY IS IT, AND THIS IS THE POINT, WHY IS IT THAT PRESIDENT TRUMP HAS NEVER REACHED 50% APPROVAL.>>Greg: YOU DON’T HAVE TO LIKE YOUR BOSS.>>Juan: MOST AMERICANS SAY THEY ARE NOT GOING TO VOTE TO REELECT TRUMP. IN OTHER WORDS, MOODY’S IS BASED ON A MODEL IN WHICH THEY HAVE A NORMAL PRESIDENT. THIS GUY IS NOT A NORMAL PRESIDENT.>>Greg: EVERYBODY KNOWS THAT.>>Jesse: THE MODEL AND THE ANALYSIS. IT’S NOT JUST ECONOMICS. LOOK AT THE STATISTICS.>>Juan: DO KNOW WHAT HIS AVERAGES RIGHT NOW ON REAL CLEAR POLITICS? 42%. WAIT A MINUTE. YOU ARE CITING A POLL.>>Jesse: THOSE ARE FACTS, JUAN.>>Greg: EMILY, I WANTED TO HEAR YOU EXPLAIN WHY THIS IS SO IMPORTANT TO AMERICA. NO PRESSURE.>>Emily: IN MY OPINION, IT’S BECAUSE THIS ILLUSTRATES WHAT IS FUNDAMENTAL TO VOTERS WHICH IS ECONOMIC SECURITY. THING ABLE TO PROVIDE FOR YOUR FAMILY. EVERYTHING THE DEMOCRATIC CANDIDATES HAVE BEEN TALKING ABOUT, IT’S RELEVANT. THOSE ARE RELEVANT ISSUES, SURE BUT THEY ARE MISSING THE MARK. WE SOUGHT ESPECIALLY FROM CNN WHO LEAD WITH A QUESTION OF IMPEACHMENT AND NEVER ASKED AN INDEPENDENT QUESTION ON JOBS OF THE ECONOMY. AT THE END OF THE DAY WHEN PEOPLE ARE SITTING AROUND THE DINNER TABLE, THEY CARE ABOUT THEIR JOB SECURITY AND WHERE THEIR PAYCHECKS ARE GOING TO COME FROM AND WHETHER THEY CAN COUNT ON IT. THERE WAS A CAVEAT IN THE MODEL ALSO ABOUT VOTER TURNOUT. THAT’S WHY IT’S SO CRUCIAL THAT TRUMP HAS BEEN LEADING THESE REALLY SUCCESSFUL CAMPAIGN STYLE RALLIES. HONESTLY TONIGHT HE’S IN DALLAS. IT’S HIS THIRD THIS WEEK, SIXTH TIME IN TEXAS THIS YEAR ALONE. 12 SINCE HE TOOK OFFICE. THAT’S MORE THAN OBAMA WENT TO TEXAS AND HIS ENTIRE ADMINISTRATION. THAT’S HUGE FOR REPUBLICANS AND WILL CONTINUE TO BE.>>Juan: BY THE WAY, HEALTH CARE. PAYING FOR COLLEGE. ECONOMIC ISSUES AND TRUMP HAS

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